|
VALUATION OF BUSINESS/ SHARES
|
BACKGROUND
India witnessed a substantial growth
in value and volume in M&A activities in 2010 2010 in comparison to last 2
years. Year 2010 growth was driven by outbound deals reflecting India’s rising
appetite for foreign assets. With the sight of recovery in the global markets
after the period of two years of recessionary environment, the Indian corporate
world is losing no time in making their global ambitions felt.
Year 2009 was not so good in terms of
M&A activities and the country saw decline compared to the previous one. But,
2010 has started with an upbeat with Telecom major
Bharti Airtel Ltd. acquiring Zain Africa, the African arm of Kuwaiti telecom
group Zain, for $10.7 billion.
M&A activities have more than
quadrupled over 2009 to US$ 49.78 billion in 2010. Private equity investors have
also returned to the markets in a significant way. India Inc saw PE deals worth
US$ 6.3 billion in 2010 up from US$ 3.45 billion in the previous year.
Connected to this aspect, there has
been increasing interest seen in the subject of Valuation by all stakeholders.
Valuations are required for different purpose and called for different point of
time. One cannot use pre-set rules, principles and precedents for valuations
without considering the varied circumstances for which valuations are required.
-
INTRODUCTION
The Indian Mergers and Acquisitions
are growing exponentially. Not only are foreign investors entering corporate
India, but also, Indian entrepreneurs are eyeing foreign acquisitions. The
liberalization of Indian economy which commenced sometime in early nineties,
gave a great amount of boost to mergers and acquisitions. M& A is the buzzword
amongst top Corporate Houses as everyone has become conscious of
competitiveness and scalability. The restructuring of businesses and/or
companies have resulted in long lasting benefits due to enhancement of
competitiveness and sustainability. The globalization has opened floodgates
for various international players to enter the Country and at the same time
many Indian companies have gone ahead and acquired companies abroad.
Investors have become more active in
protecting their value. Any transaction of purchase/ sale of business/
companies require determination of fair value for the transaction to satisfy
stakeholders and/or Regulators. Business valuation is an unformulated and
subjective process. Understanding the finer points of valuing a business is a
skill that takes time to perfect. There are various methodologies for valuing
a business, all having different relevance depending on the purpose of
valuation. Key aspects of valuation along with various restructuring options
have been explained hereunder:
-
VALUE & PRICE
2.1 Value is a subjective
term and can have different connotations. As Warren Buffet describes “Price
is what you pay & Value is what you get”. The Price paid for an asset is
the result of a negotiation process between a willing Buyer and the willing
Seller. Whereas Value refers to the intrinsic worth of an asset. Hence, the
Value of the Product could be different from its Price.
2.2 Management of companies
always sought help of Professionals like Chartered Accountants or Merchant
Bankers to value the intrinsic worth of a Business/Shares using various
techniques of valuation. Valuation is not an exact ‘Science’. It is more an
‘Art’. Valuation is largely influenced by the valuer’s judgement, knowledge of
the business, analysis and interpretation and the use of different methods,
which may result in assigning different values based on different methods. It
is more an application of common sense after analysing various supportive data
obtained either from the management or through other publicly available
sources.
2.3 Once the ‘value’ is
determined, what follows is detailed negotiations between the purchaser and
seller and if there is an agreement between the two, ‘price’ of the asset
(whether of shares or business) gets established. It is quite possible that
the price is either far higher or far lower than the fair value.
It is important to keep this
differentiation between price and value in mind before attempting the
valuation.
-
PURPOSE OF VALUATION
3.1 An important concept in
valuation is recognising the intended purpose of valuation. The value often
depends on its purpose.
3.2 Some of the purposes for
which valuation may be required are as follows:
-
Determining the consideration for
Acquisition/ Sale of Business or for Purchase/Sale of Equity stake
-
Determining the swap ratio for
Merger/Demerger
-
Corporate Restructuring
-
Sale/ Purchase of Intangible
assets including brands, patents, copyrights, trademarks, rights.
-
Determining the value of family
owned business and assets in case of Family Separation.
-
Determining the Fair value of
shares for issuing ESOP as per the ESOP guidelines.
-
Determining the fair value of
shares for Listing on the Stock Exchange.
-
Disinvestment of PSU stocks by the
Government
-
Determining the Portfolio Value of
Investments by Venture Funds or Private Equity Funds
-
Liquidation of company
-
Other Corporate restructuring
3.3 A clear understanding of
the purpose for which the valuation is being attempted is very important
aspect to be kept in mind before commencement of the valuation exercise. The
structure of the transactions also plays very important role in determining
the value. For example, if only assets are being transferred out from a
Company, valuation of equity shares is of no importance. The ‘general purpose’
value may have to be suitably modified for the special purpose for which the
valuation is done. The factors affecting that value with reference to the
special purpose must be judged and brought into final assessment in a sound
and reasonable manner.
-
SOURCES OF INFORMATION
The first step while attempting any
valuation exercise is to collect relevant and optimal information required for
valuing Share or Business of a company. Such information can be obtained from
one or more of the following sources:
4.1 Historical Results
This will include Annual Reports for
at least past 3 years of the Company being valued. Apart from review of
detailed financials, it is very important to look carefully at the Directors
Report, Management Discussions, Corporate Governance Reports, Auditors’ Report
and Notes to accounts. There are instances that the growth prospects and
opportunities for the company mentioned in these documents are absolutely
opposite to the future outlook as demonstrated in the projections. A detailed
analysis of the past performance is a very important starting point in any
valuation exercise. It is critical to note from the past results, various
important aspects such as non-recurring income/ expenditure, non-operating
income, change in Government/Tax regulations affecting business, tax benefits
enjoyed, and so on.
4.2 Future Projections
This will include Future Expected
Profitability, Balance Sheet and Cash Flows along with detailed Assumptions
underlying the projections. It is important to cover the period which will
comprise the entire cycle of the business. In certain industry even 3-year
period will cover the cycle whereas in certain industries like heavy
engineering or cement, a longer period of 5 to 7 years may capture the cycle.
It is impossible to predict the future in a precise way particularly
considering the dynamic nature of the economy. One should ensure that the
assumption behind the future projections is reasonable at a point of time when
they are prepared. Few common mistakes which are found in the projections are:
(1) assuming production much higher than the capacities without capturing
additional capital cost (2) showing unreasonable changes in selling price of
the final products or of raw materials (3) showing unreasonable change in the
working capital movements (4) capturing tax benefits even after the sunset
clause under the Tax laws (5) unreasonable changes in manpower cost and so on.
4.3 Discussions with the
Management
It is very important that open, fair
and detailed discussions are carried out between the Valuer and the
Management. When one refers to the Management, it should not be restricted to
only representatives of Finance Department. All critical people of the
Management need to be interviewed.
It is always advisable to obtain a
written Representation from the Management of various inputs given by them.
This helps in defending the valuation in the eventuality of it being
challenged by any Authority.
4.4 Market Surveys, Other
Publicly available data
This will include various outside
data available publicly. It may pertain to the industry as well as the Company
being valued. Thanks to technology advancement, most of these data are
available on the net. Various newspaper reports are also available on the
subject. It is advisable to double check the accuracy of these data before
heavily relying on such data. Nowadays various Software packages are available
on Corporate data. It should be ensured that updated version of such data is
used. It is experienced that a lot of time is spent by the valuer on review
and analysis of irrelevant data. The relevance of the data being reviewed and
used in valuation need to be strictly monitored.
4.5 Stock Market quotations
The details of stock market prices
of the listed companies are nowadays available on the website of the stock
exchange. It is important to keep in mind that the data should be picked up
not only of the market prices but also for the volumes of the shares being
traded. Due adjustments also need to be made for illiquid or Thinly traded
Shares, Rights Issue, Bonus issues, Stock split, open offers, Buy Back, etc.
Stock exchange website also gives details of various announcements made by the
Company in last few months. This helps to capture some very critical
information and at times could prove to be vital for the valuation exercise.
4.6 Data on Comparable Companies
Review of data on comparable
companies is one very important feature in any valuation exercise. Care needs
to be taken that such companies are really comparable. It is possible that
geographically the companies are located in different areas which may have
substantial difference in the operations. For example Cement Companies located
near to Limestone Reserve and those which are located far off are not strictly
comparable. Further, different funding pattern of two companies and investment
also makes them non-comparable.
Having seen what could be relevant
data for valuation, let’s now proceed to understand the various methods of
Valuation.
-
VALUATION METHODOLOGIES
5.1 There are many
methodologies that a valuer may use to value the Shares of a Company/Business.
In practice, however, the valuer normally uses different methodologies of
valuation and arrives at a fair value for the entire business by combining the
values arrived using various methods.
5.2 The Methodologies of
Valuation also depend on the purpose of the valuation. If the Valuation is for
the purpose of a liquidation, the Intrinsic Value of the Net Assets of the
Company is more appropriate and not the Earnings Capacity. Similarly, during a
Merger, the valuer would want to value both the concerned Companies in a
similar manner to have a relative value.
5.3 The Value of a Business
would also differ from the point of view of the Buyer and that of the Seller,
depending on the vision, strategy and future projections made by each of them
independently.
5.4 The methods to be used
for valuation can be broadly classified under the following heads:
-
Asset Based Approach
-
Net Assets Value
-
Replacement Value
-
Realizable Value
-
Earnings Based Approach
-
Capitalization of Maintainable
Earnings (PECV)
-
Discounted Cash Flow Method
-
EBITDA Multiple
-
Sales Multiple
-
Market Based Approach
-
Market Price Method
-
Market Comparables
5.5 Each method proceeds on
different fundamental assumptions, which have greater or lesser relevance, and
at times even no relevance to a given situation. Thus, the methods to be
adopted for a particular valuation must be judiciously chosen.
-
ASSET BASED APPROACH
-
NET ASSETS METHOD
-
Valuation of net assets is
calculated with reference to the historical cost of the assets owned by the
company. Such value usually represents the minimum value or a support value
of a going concern. It is usual to ignore market value of the operating
assets for the simple reason that under the going concern valuation, it is
not the intention to sell the assets on a piece meal basis.
-
While the historical cost is
adopted in respect of the assets that are to continue as a part of the going
concern, it is necessary to adjust the market value of non-operating assets
like unused land which are capable of being easily disposed of without
affecting the operations of the company.
-
Situations Where Net Assets
Method May Be Adopted
Net Assets Method may be adopted
in the following cases:
-
In case of start up companies
(which are capital intensive in nature), where the commercial production
has not yet started.
-
In case of Investment Companies
as Earnings Value based on its income in the form of dividend and/or
interest may not reflect its true value.
-
In case of companies, which do
not have a sustainable track record of profits and has no prospects of
earning profits in future.
-
In case of manufacturing
companies, where fixed assets has greater relevance for earning revenues.
It would also be appropriate to use Net Assets Method for valuation in
case of companies operating in the industry, which is capital intensive
and is relevant to revenues in an industry, where norms are related to the
capital cost per unit.
-
In case of companies, where
there is an intention to liquidate it and to realise the assets and
distribute the net proceeds.
-
Methodology
The value as per Net Assets Method
is arrived at as follows:
-
Net Assets value represents
equity value which is arrived at after reducing all external liabilities
and preference shareholders claims, if any, from the aggregate value of
all assets, as valued and stated in the Balance Sheet as on valuation
date.
-
Net Assets Value = Total
Assets (excluding Miscellaneous Expenditure & Debit balance of Profit &
Loss account) – Total Liabilities
Or
Net Assets Value = Share
Capital + Reserves (excluding revaluation reserves) — Miscellaneous
Expenditure – Debit Balance of Profit & Loss Account
-
Adjustments to NAV
The Net Asset Value (NAV) as
arrived at by using the above-mentioned formula may be adjusted depending
upon circumstances of a particular case. The list given below showcases some
of the adjustments commonly made:
The amount of Contingent
Liabilities as disclosed in the financial statements of the entity needs to
be adjusted from the value of net assets. The management’s perception of
such liability materialising should be considered. If necessary, legal
opinion regarding sustainability of claims or contingent liabilities should
be called for.
Some examples of Contingent
liabilities are:
1. Income tax demands
2. Excise demands
3. Sales tax/ Entry Tax demands
4. Entertainment tax
5. DPCO claim for pharmaceutical companies
6. Claims from customers
7. Matters referred to Arbitrations
8. Labour related issues
Investments, whether trade or non
trade should be considered at their Market value while arriving at the
Adjusted Net Assets value as they can be sold in the market on a piece meal
basis without affecting the operations of the company. For this, notional
adjustment should be made for any appreciation/ depreciation in the value of
investments on a net of tax basis.
The market value of surplus assets
such as land and building not used for the business of the company should be
considered. The appreciation or depreciation in the value of surplus assets
adjusted for the tax liability or the tax shield on such appreciation or
depreciation would be added/deducted from the Net Assets Value.
This is more of a notional
adjustment. Market value of such assets could be based on the report of a
technical valuer or on the estimates of the Management. Care should be taken
if the title of the assets is not clear or the possession of the property
under consideration is not with the owner.
If the company has made escalation
claims, insurance claims or other similar claims, then the possibility of
their recovery should be carefully made on a fair basis, particularly having
regard to the time frame in which they are likely to be recovered. The
likely cost to be incurred for realizing the amount needs to be adjusted.
Qualifications in the Auditors
Report and Notes to Accounts should also be given due consideration. If it
calls for any adjustment, the same should be carried out while arriving at
the Net Assets Value. E.g. diminution in the value of long term investments
not provided for, provision for gratuity and leave encashment not made,
provision for doubtful debts not made, etc.
Where the Company has issued
warrants/ ESOPS or any other convertible instruments which are likely to be
exercised, appropriate adjustment needs to be made for the amount receivable
on the exercise of such options and resultant increase in share capital
base.
-
NET REALISABLE VALUE METHOD
This method is generally used in
case of liquidation. Where the business of the company is being liquidated,
its assets have to be valued as if they were individually sold and not on a
going concern basis. Liabilities are deducted from the liquidation value of
the assets to determine the liquidation value of the business. One should
also consider liabilities which will arise on closure such as retrenchment
compensation, termination of critical contracts, etc. Regard should also be
made to the tax consequences of liquidation. Any distribution to the
shareholders of the company on its liquidation, to the extent of accumulated
profits of the company is regarded as deemed dividend. Dividend Distribution
tax will have to be captured for such valuation.
-
REMAINDER REPLACEMENT VALUE
METHOD
Replacement value is different
from Net Assets Value as it uses the replacement value of assets, which is
usually higher than the book valuation. The term replacement cost refers to
the amount that a company would have to pay, at the present time, to replace
any one of its existing assets. Net replacement value of the assets
indicates the value of an asset similar to the original whose life is equal
to the residual life of the existing asset. Replacement value includes not
only the cost of acquiring or replicating the assets, but also all the
relevant costs associated with replacement.
Liabilities are deducted from the
replacement value of the assets to determine the net replacement value of
the business.
Asset Based Method may not be
relevant in case of companies operating in an industry where human knowledge
and creativity are more relevant as compared to physical assets in value
creation. In such cases, the Earnings Based Methods may be adopted.
Net Assets Method may sometimes be
used as a backup to support the value arrived at as per other methods.
-
EARNINGS BASED METHOD:
Earnings based methods are
generally regarded as more appropriate in case of valuation for going
concern. This approach values a business by capitalizing its earnings. Some
of the earnings based methods are discussed in the ensuing paragraphs.
-
PROFIT EARNING CAPITALISATION
VALUE METHOD (PECV)
-
Capitalization of future
maintainable earnings is carried out under this approach. Here it is
important to work out future maintainable profit. For this purpose past
profitability generally gives the indication. However, if past profit is
not indicative then, future profitability may be estimated after taking
into account present value of future expected profits.
-
Situations Where PECV Method
May Be Adopted
The PECV method of Valuation is
relevant for valuing the following business enterprises as a going concern:
-
Most business organisations have
a lead-time of a few years before they start generating profits. During
this period the PECV method of Valuation may not be applicable and one
would have to adopt a non–traditional method such as the Discounted Cash
Flow Method, which takes into account the future profitability of a
business enterprise as also time value of money.
-
Methodology
The value as per Profit Earning
Capitalisation Value Method is arrived at as follows:
-
Valuation as per PECV involves
determination of the future maintainable earnings on a post tax basis on
the basis of its normal operations. These earnings are then capitalised
at an appropriate rate to arrive at the Equity Value. PECV value can
also be arrived at by applying the Price Earning Multiple to the net of
tax future maintainable earnings.
-
PECV = Future Maintainable
Profits After Tax/Capitalisation Rate
Or
PECV = Future Maintainable
Profits After Tax* PE Multiple.
-
Future Maintainable Profit
-
Determination of future
maintainable profits is a complicated task as it involves not only
objective consideration of the available financial information but,
subjective evaluation of many other factors such as general economic
conditions, Government policies, for example, the valuer may have to take
a view on exchange rate, change in custom duty or income tax rates or
changes expected in subsidy given by the Government. The valuer has to
give due consideration to these factors according to his reading of the
situation in each individual case.
-
In a company with a steady
growth, past earnings will give indication of the future profitability
and, therefore, average of the past three to five years’ earnings is taken
as a future maintainable profit. Before selecting the number of years for
averaging, valuer has to look at the business cycle, changes in business
in those years or change in the scale of business. If the business is a
cyclical business, care should be taken to consider at least all the years
representing a single cycle.
-
It is logical to give higher
weightage to the performance of recent years as compared to earlier years
simply due to the fact that recent year’s performance is more relevant. It
is also not unusual to ignore performance of the year which is not
comparable (E.g. Performance of Airline Companies for the year in which
9/11 incident happened).
-
For instance, in case of a
company whose business is dependent upon good rainfall, if in the latest
year, the performance was affected due to draught, the valuer may consider
giving equal weightage to the profits of the three years instead of giving
higher weightage to the recent year.
-
Adjustments to PECV
The important considerations at
this stage are how far the past profits are reflective of the future
maintainable profits. Past profits need to be adjusted for all
non–recurring items and non–operating expenses/incomes. Following are some
of the adjustments:
-
Elimination of material
non-recurring items such as losses of exceptional nature, profit or loss
of any isolated transaction not being part of the business of the
enterprise, damages and costs in legal actions, etc.
-
Elimination of any abnormal or
exceptional capital profit or loss or receipt or expense
-
Elimination of profits or
losses from sale of investments which are not expected to recur in the
future.
-
Adjustment for any interest,
remuneration, commission, etc. foregone by Directors or others.
-
Adjustment for any matters
suggested by notes appended to the accounts or by qualifications in the
Auditor’s report.
-
Adjustment on account of
Voluntary Retirement Scheme operated by the Company also considering the
impact on personnel cost going forward.
-
Adjustment for any specific
cost savings initiative taken up by the Company which were not reflected
in the past profits.
-
If the value of Investments is
added to the value arrived at under PECV method, any income received on
such investments such as Dividends or Interest need to be eliminated
while working out the main tenable profits otherwise it will amount to
duplication.
-
Adjustment for discontinuance
of a Business activity or an undertaking.
-
Adjustment for new Business
activity which was not operative in all or any of the years considered
in determination of Maintainable profits.
-
Adjustments for any
inconsistencies in the accounting policies and their compliance with
generally accepted accounting principles. For example, in the case of
depreciation it should be ensured that the provision in each year is
adequate and is calculated consistently both as to the basis and the
rates. Similarly, in the case of stocks it should be ensured that the
basis of valuation is consistent from year to year and is in accordance
with the accepted accounting principles.
-
Appropriate Tax Rate
After arriving at the
maintainable profit before tax, appropriate tax rate has to be applied to
arrive at profit after tax. In arriving at the tax rate, currently
applicable rate with the benefit on account of various reliefs and
concessions available have to be considered. Certain tax reliefs which are
going to be expired in near future, adjustment in tax rate may not be an
appropriate way of dealing with it. In such situations, full tax rate is
applied to the maintainable PBT and the present value of future benefit
for the available years is added to the value. Further adjustment for the
additional tax benefit for certain expenditure on research needs to be
captured for the eligible companies. For example, Expenditure on
scientific research under section 35.
-
Capitalisation Factor
The next important factor is the
rate at which adjusted maintainable profit after tax is to be capitalised.
The capitalization rate or the P/E Multiple shall be reflective of the
value that the business commands as on the date of valuation. The
determination of this rate is influenced by the following factors:
-
Prevailing rate of return on
safe investment, say Government Securities
-
Financial position of the
company
-
Past Track record
-
Prevailing Price Earning ratio
in the market for companies in the same line of business and of similar
size and profit performance as the company one is valuing.
-
Risk factors associated with the
company and the industry
-
Size and standing of the
business
-
Stability of profits in the
industry and of the company
-
Capability / Reliability of
Management.
-
Regulatory policies relating to
the industry
-
Determination of Business
Value
Business value is derived by
multiplying the inverse of the capitalization factor popularly called the
P/E Multiple by the maintainable profits derived. The business value for
equity shareholders is derived by further adjustments for preference
shareholder’s claim, contingent liabilities and surplus assets. Surplus
Assets are those assets, which do not contribute towards the earnings
activity of a business whether directly or indirectly. The market value of
these assets built up by an enterprise over years is added to the business
value to give enterprise value. Further other adjustments as detailed in
Net Assets Method and special considerations such as Controlling Interest,
Illiquidity Discount, etc. need to be addressed depending on the facts and
circumstances of the case.
Earnings Based Method serves as
an important benchmark value for most valuation exercises and is generally
considered in conjunction with other methods to arrive at the business
value.
-
DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW METHOD (DCF)
-
DCF method proceeds on the
assumption that “Cash is King”. The traditional earnings related methods do
not take into account the capital gearing of the enterprise, resources
blocked in the Working Capital, requirements for capital expenditure,
periodic tax benefits, etc.
-
The DCF method values the business
by discounting its free cash flows for the explicit forecast period and the
perpetuity value thereafter. The free cash flows represent the cash
available for distribution to both the owners and the creditors of the
business.
-
Estimation of Cash Flows
As stated earlier, DCF valuation
is arrived by taking the present value of expected future cash flows. Thus
it is very important to consider the reasonable projections which the
enterprise can achieve. It is a known fact that nobody can predict what the
future will be. Thus while preparing projections instead of being optimistic
or pessimistic one has to be realistic. Each activity of the company needs
to be identified and revenue assumptions need to be made for each
activity. An appropriate Growth rate has to be applied to this considering
the past trend of the enterprise, present and expected capacity utilisation
of the enterprise, expected trend in the industry, etc. Various cost and
expenditure needs to be bifurcated into variable cost and fixed cost.
The variable cost should be related to the revenue assumptions/activity of
the company whereas fixed costs will be mainly time cost. An appropriate
Growth rate has to be applied to the projections considering the past
trend of the enterprise, present and expected capacity utilisation of the
enterprise, expected trend of the industry, etc. In real life, projections
are generally made by the Management and are provided to the valuer who in
turn ensures that they are reasonable. Care needs to be taken to adhere to
the regulations of the ICAI, which prohibits its members in practice to
associate his/ his firm’s name in a manner which may lead to the belief that
he vouches for the accuracy of the projections.
-
Approaches to DCF
There are two broad approaches for
valuation as per DCF Method. The ‘equity approach’ and the second is
the ‘firm approach’.
-
Equity Valuation : Under
this approach, the value for equity holders is obtained by discounting
expected cash flows available for the equity holders. Cash flows to equity
holders is arrived by reducing from gross operational cash flows, tax
payments, amount blocked in working capital, capital expenditure, interest
payment, principal repayment for loans, non-cash expenditure (depreciation),
etc. The net cash flows so arrived is discounted by the cost of equity.
Firm Valuation : Under this
approach the value of the firm is obtained by discounting the expected cash
flows to the firm. Cash flows to firm are arrived by reducing from gross
operational cash flows, tax payments, amount blocked in working capital,
capital expenditure, non-cash expenditure (depreciation), etc. The net cash
flows so arrived is discounted by the weighted average cost of capital.
In this approach, the gross value
of the enterprise is arrived and from this value, amount of loan as on the
valuation date is reduced to arrive at the value for equity holders.
Between the above two, its most
common to use Firm Valuation approach to DCF.
-
Estimation of Discount Rates
The discount rate is the most
critical item of DCF valuation. The Cash Flow so arrived will have to be
discounted by an appropriate Rate. The discount rate is arrived by
determining the cost of each provider of capital and taking the weighted
average of that. The discount rate so arrived is termed as Weighted Average
cost of Capital (WACC). The WACC reflects the business as well as financial
risk of the enterprise.
Each component of WACC is
discussed in detail in the following paragraphs.
-
Cost of Equity : The cost
of equity can be derived either by the risk and return approach or by
dividend expectation approach. What is being measured in DCF valuation is
the present value of total cash flows available to equity holders and not
the dividend pay out by the enterprise. Considering this, generally the risk
return approach is used to work out the cost of equity.
Under this approach, the cost of
equity is defined as under :
Cost of equity = Risk Free
Return + [Beta * Equity Risk Premium]
Where,
Risk Free Return : is the
return expected by an investor where default risk is zero. (long term
Government Securities).
Beta: It is the sensitivity
of a particular stock vis a vis Market or Index. Arithmetically, beta can be
calculated as follows
|
|
Covariance (X,Y) |
|
Beta = |
---------------------- |
|
|
Variance (X) |
Equity Risk Premium is the
expectation of the investor over and above the risk free return.
Equity Risk Premium = return
generated by the market - risk free return
Cost of Debt is the long-term cost
of debt of an enterprise. Interest on the debt is a tax-deductible item.
Thus any enterprise would like to leverage on that and borrow funds to meet
its requirements. While arriving at Cost of Debt, one has to take the tax
benefit available on interest and take cost of debt net of tax.
Cost of preference shares is the
dividend rate of the preference share along with the applicable dividend
distribution tax.
The Weighted Average Cost of
Capital is the weighted average of the costs of the different components of
financing used by an enterprise. Arithmetically, WACC is calculated as
follows:
WACC= [(Cost of Equity*Weight)
+ (Cost of Debt*Weight) + (Cost of Preference Shares*Weight)]/[Weight of
Equity + Weight of Debt + Weight of Preference Shares]
To arrive at the weights of the
different components of financing used by the enterprise, one has to
consider the sustainable financing pattern of the enterprise and also of the
industry in which it operates.
-
Calculation of Terminal Value
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation is
calculated in two parts, i.e. present value of cash flows for explicit
period (i.e., the period for which projections are made) and present value
of terminal value. To work out the terminal value cash flows, explicit
period’s last year’s gross cash flow is taken as base and an appropriate
growth rate is applied to that.
While determining the growth rate
for terminal value, one has to consider the length of the explicit period
cash flow, long-term growth rate of the industry, etc.
From the gross cash flow,
adjustment will have to be made for capital expenditure, incremental working
capital requirement, tax liabilty, etc. to arrive at net cash flow for
terminal value.
The cash flow so arrived has to be
capitalised by applying following formula to arrive at Gross Terminal Value
|
|
Net cash flow for |
|
|
terminal value |
|
Gross Terminal Value = |
------------------------------------ |
|
|
(WACC – Growth Rate for |
|
|
Terminal Value) |
Discount rate of last year of
explicit period has to be applied to arrive at present value of terminal
value.
Present value of terminal value
= Gross terminal value * Discount factor for last year of explicit period
-
Calculation of Value for Equity
Holders
Present value of cash flow for
explicit period and present value of terminal value is added to arrive at
the Enterprise Value of the business.
This value is for all the
providers of the capital.
To arrive at the value for equity
holders under firm approach of valuation following adjustments needs to be
made:
Value for equity holders =
Present Value of Cash Flows for explicit period + Present value of Terminal
Value –balance of loan as on valuation date – Preference shareholders claim
– Contingent liabilities + Surplus cash not considered for working capital
requirement + Realisable value of surplus assets etc.
-
EBITDA MULTIPLE METHOD
-
EBITDA multiple is one of the
enterprise value multiples. This method is also called the “price-to-EBIDTA
multiple”, or “the enterprise multiple” .The EBITDA multiple is the ratio of
the value of capital employed (enterprise value) to EBITDA.
-
Enterprise multiple is calculated
as:
-
|
|
Enterprise Value |
|
|
EV/ EBITDA Multiple = |
------------------- |
|
|
|
EBITDA |
|
|
= Market Value of
Equity + Market Value of Debt |
|
Earnings before
Interest, Taxes, Depreciation & Amortisation |
-
EBITDA multiple eliminates
sometimes significant differences in depreciation methods. It is very
frequently used by financial analysts for companies in capital-intensive
industries.
-
The enterprise multiple looks at a
firm as a potential acquirer would, because it takes debt into account - an
item which other multiples like the P/E ratio do not include.
-
Situations where EBITDA
Multiple Method May Be Adopted
The enterprise multiple is used for
several reasons:
-
It’s useful for transnational
comparisons because it ignores the distorting effects of individual
countries’ taxation policies.
-
It’s useful in companies reporting
losses but whose earnings before interest, taxes and depreciation is
positive.
-
It’s useful in case of firms in
certain industries, such as cable, which require a substantial
investment in infrastructure and long gestation periods, this multiple
seems to be more appropriate than the price/earnings ratio.
-
It’s used to find attractive
takeover candidates.
-
But one should note that
enterprise multiples can vary depending on the industry. Therefore, it’s
important to compare the multiple with other companies in the same industry
or with the industry in general.
-
SALES MULTIPLE METHOD
A sales multiple is commonly used
business valuation method and used as benchmark used in valuing a business.
The Sales multiple is the ratio of the value of capital employed (enterprise
value) to Sales. This method is generally used as a cross check for the values
arrived under other methods. Sales multiples can vary depending on the
industry. Therefore, it’s important to compare the multiple with other
companies in the same industry or with the industry in general.
This method is easy to understand
and use.
-
MARKET BASED APPROACH
-
MARKET PRICE METHOD
-
The Market Price Method evaluates
the value on the basis of prices quoted on the stock exchange. Average of
quoted price is considered as indicative of the value perception of the
company by investors operating under free market conditions. To avoid
chances of speculative pressures, it is suggested to adopt the average
quotations of sufficiently longer period. The valuer will have to consider
the effect of issue of bonus shares or rights shares during the period
chosen for average.
-
Market Price Method is not
relevant in the following cases:
-
Valuation of a division of a
company
-
Where the share are not listed or
are thinly traded
-
In the case of a merger, where the
shares of one of the companies under consideration are not listed on any
stock exchange
-
In case of companies, where there
is an intention to liquidate it and to realise the assets and distribute the
net proceeds.
-
In case of significant and unusual
fluctuations in market price the market price may not be indicative of the
true value of the share. At times, the valuer may also want to ignore this
value, if according to the valuer, the market price is not a fair reflection
of the company’s underlying assets or profitability status. The Market Price
Method may also be used as a back up for supporting the value arrived at by
using the other methods.
-
It is important to note that
Regulatory bodies have often considered market value as one of the very
important basis — Preferential allotment, Buyback, Open offer price
calculation under the Takeover Code.
-
In earlier days due to
non-availability of data, while calculating the value under the market price
method, high and low of monthly share prices where considered. Now with the
support of technology, detailed data is available for stock prices. It is
now a usual practice to consider weighted average market price considering
volume and value of each transaction reported at the stock exchange.
-
If the period for which prices are
considered also has impact on account of Bonus shares, Rights Issue, etc.,
the valuer needs to adjust the market prices for such corporate events.
-
MARKET COMPARABLES
This method is generally, applied
in case of unlisted entities. This method estimates value by relating the
same to underlying elements of similar companies for past years. It is based
on market multiples of ‘comparable companies’. For example
-
Earnings/Revenue Multiples
(Valuation of Pharmaceutical Brands)
-
Book Value Multiples (Valuation
of Financial Institution or Banks)
-
Industry Specific Multiples
(Valuation of cement companies based on Production capacities)
-
Multiples from Recent M&A
Transactions.
Though this method is easy to
understand and quick to compute, it may not capture the intrinsic value and
may give a distorted picture in case of short term volatility in the
markets. There may often be difficulty in identifying the comparable
companies.
-
SPECIAL CONSIDERATIONS
A situation may arise in the process
of valuation of the shares or business, which may call for special
considerations to be given to certain important factors. Few indicative
situations have been discussed in the ensuing paragraphs.
6.1 Controlling Interest
When a parcel of shares carrying
controlling interest in a company is to be valued, special consideration has
to be given to this factor. This special consideration flows from the fact
that the purchaser of such a parcel of shares does not acquire only the shares
of the company but also control of that company which in itself is a valuable
right. He has, therefore, to pay for this control also.
The valuer will have to study these
aspects carefully and give due consideration to put a monetary value to
controlling interest.
6.2 Restrictions on Transfer of
Shares
Restrictions on transfer of shares
generally have a depressing effect on their fair value inasmuch as the ready
market for sale is restricted.
In such cases, it would be
appropriate to discount the value arrived in order to provide for the
illiquidity of the shares.
6.3 Due Diligence Review
Adjustment
The outcome of the financial and
accounting due diligence directly influences the value of acquisition. The
findings of the DDR may call for adjustments to be considered in arriving at
the value of the business of the target company.
-
FAIR VALUE
7.1 As stated earlier,
valuation is not an exact science. It is not a simple arithmetic exercise to
arrive at the value based on a well defined model. In the final analysis,
valuation is guided by the exercise of judicious discretion and judgement
taking into account all the relevant factors. In addition to the various
quantitative data/information considered in the relevant model of valuation,
there are many qualitative factors such as quality and integrity of the
management, present and prospective competition, yield on comparable
securities, market sentiments, etc. which have a significant influence on the
worth of a share.
7.2 In the case of, Viscount
Simon Bd in Gold Coast Selection Trust Ltd. vs. Humphrey reported in 30 TC 209
(House of Lords) and quoted with approval by the Supreme Court of India in the
case reported in 176 ITR 417 as under:—
“If
the asset takes the form of fully paid shares, the valuation will take into
account not only the terms of the agreement but a number of other factors,
such as prospective yield, marketability, the general outlook for the type of
business of the company which has allotted the shares, the result of a
contemporary prospectus offering similar shares for subscription, the capital
position of the company, so forth. There may also be an element of value in
the fact that the holding of the shares gives control of the company. If the
asset is difficult to value, but is nonetheless of a money value, the best
valuation possible must be made. Valuation is an art, not an exact science.
Mathematical certainty is not demanded, nor indeed is it possible.”
7.3 In practice, as mentioned
earlier, the valuer would take one and/or some of the above methods or may be
some additional method to arrive at a Fair value of the business, giving
adequate consideration to the earnings capacity, the asset base, market price
and future earnings capacity of the concern. Many a times combination of
different methods is used to arrive at the Fair value of the enterprise. It is
a usual practice to apply weightages to values arrived under different
methods.
-
FORM OF VALUATION REPORT
—
Background Information
— Purpose of Valuation and Appointing Authority
— Identity of the Valuer and any other experts involved in the valuation
— Disclosure of Valuer Interest/Conflict, if any
— Date of Appointment, Valuation Date and Date of Report
— Sources of Information
— Procedures adopted in carrying out the Valuation
— Valuation Methodology
— Major Factors influencing the Valuation
— Conclusion
— Caveats, Limitations and Disclaimers
-
RELEVANT CASE LAWS
9.1 Combination of three
well-known methods — asset value, yield value and market value accepted.
Hindustan Lever Employees’ Union vs. Hindustan Lever Limited (1995) 83 Com.
Cases 30 AIR 1995 SC 470.
9.2 “Valuation is a technical
and complex problem which can be appropriately left to the considerations of
experts in the field of accountancy. Exchange Ratio shall not be disturbed by
Courts unless objected and found grossly unfair” Miheer H. Mafatlal vs.
Mafatlal Industries (1996) 87 Com Cases 792 and Dinesh vs. Lakhani vs.
Parke-Davis (India) Ltd.. (2003) 47 SCL 80 (Bom)
9.3 In case of mergers,
valuation date can be different from appointed date. Sumitra
Pharmaceuticals and Chemicals Limited, In Re. (1997) 88 Com Cases 619 (AP)
9.4 Brands of a company are
part of goodwill, cannot be separately valued. Brooke Bond Lipton India
Limited (1998) 15 SCL 81 (Cal)
9.5 The Supreme Court has
held in the case of CWT vs. Mahadeo Jalan [1972] (86 ITR 621) has held
that valuation on net assets or break up basis should be considered only when
the company is ripe for winding up.
9.6 In the case of
Commissioner of Gift Tax vs. Smt. Kusumben D. Mahadevia [1991] 122 ITR 038,
Supreme Court has held that where the shares in a public limited company are
not quoted on the stock exchange or the shares are in a private limited
company, the proper method of valuation would be the profit earnings capacity
method.
9.7 In the case of Chintan
Textiles Pvt. Ltd. & Others vs. Varuna Investments Limited [2001] (106 Com.
Cases 410), the Bombay High Court has accepted the valuation on basis of
fair value of the shares which has been determined by merging the values under
different methods, namely, the net assets method, the earning capitalisation
method and the market price method.
|